Fire SlimesTier 2
at GA Regionals November 30th
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-1-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1077
· median 1077
· range 1077–1077
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1186
Q3 1268
1582
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Wind Cats | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
